The MEP uses a GIS-based approach wherein terrestrial nitrogen loads within a watershed are determined by mapping parcel-scale water-use data to the contributing area to the estuary determined using a steady-state groundwater-flow model; these terrestrial loads are used as input into a hydrodynamic model that simulates mixing and tidal-flushing to estimate nitrogen concentrations within the estuary at critical points. At present (2010), TMDLs have been determined for a number of estuaries and many communities are developing wastewater-management strategies to meet these thresholds. The response of estuarine water quality to a set of wastewater-management actions is a function of transport processes within the aquifer system. Although groundwater-flow models can be used to delineate watershed boundaries for a given set of hydrologic conditions, solute-transport models are needed to calculate complex, time-varying nitrogen loads to an estuary in response to a set of sequential wastewater-management actions. Specifically, solute-transport models can incorporate dynamic changes in watershed boundaries, transport time through the aquifer, and physiochemical processes such as dispersion and attenuation.
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